Dubai market briefing
A one-page read of the residential market — generated from every registered arm's-length sale in the dataset. Every figure on this page links back to the source transactions; nothing is estimated.
Key findings
- Outlier transactions flagged12,169 rows (14.1%) have been flagged as gift transfers, re-registrations, or per-sqft outliers — these are excluded from arm's-length averages.Drill in →
- Palm Jumeirah commands the top per-sqftMedian 3,628 AED/sqft — a 110% premium over the city median.Drill in →
- Transaction volume acceleratingThe last 3 months saw 25,942 sales versus 16,187 in the prior 3 — a 60.3% uplift.Drill in →
- Emirates Hills leads price growthMedian AED/sqft in Emirates Hills is up 40.7% YoY, the strongest move of any tracked community.Drill in →
Area league table · ranked by YoY price growth
| # | Area | Txns | Median AED/sqft | YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Emirates Hills | 37 | 2,303 | +40.7% |
| 2 | Living Legends | 540 | 949 | +32.7% |
| 3 | The Lakes | 89 | 1,889 | +20.7% |
| 4 | Jumeirah Golf Estates | 683 | 1,770 | +19.8% |
| 5 | Jumeirah Park | 392 | 1,242 | +19.0% |
| 6 | Arabian Ranches | 1,049 | 1,137 | +17.5% |
| 7 | Barsha Heights | 840 | 1,643 | +16.4% |
| 8 | Green Community (DIP) | 2,435 | 1,442 | +15.3% |
| 9 | Meydan | 2,337 | 2,694 | +14.4% |
| 10 | Sports City | 1,897 | 1,690 | +13.1% |
| 11 | Jumeirah Village Circle | 2,058 | 1,595 | +12.8% |
| 12 | Dubai Hills Estate | 1,566 | 2,246 | +11.2% |
| 13 | Dubai Silicon Oasis | 1,701 | 1,334 | +10.4% |
| 14 | Al Furjan | 2,103 | 1,519 | +10.2% |
| 15 | International City | 1,859 | 1,055 | +9.6% |
| 16 | Dubai Studio City | 1,843 | 1,463 | +9.1% |
| 17 | Town Square Dubai | 1,669 | 1,744 | +8.0% |
| 18 | Jumeirah Islands | 947 | 2,490 | +7.6% |
| 19 | The Greens | 584 | 1,851 | +7.2% |
| 20 | MBR City | 1,389 | 1,754 | +6.5% |
| 21 | La Mer | 574 | 3,170 | +6.2% |
| 22 | Nad Al Sheba Gardens | 479 | 1,983 | +5.7% |
| 23 | DAMAC Hills 2 | 1,141 | 1,201 | +5.1% |
| 24 | Mirdif | 562 | 1,190 | +4.9% |
| 25 | Discovery Gardens | 1,403 | 1,341 | +4.6% |
| 26 | Mudon | 557 | 1,545 | +4.5% |
| 27 | Remraam | 679 | 908 | +3.3% |
| 28 | Downtown Dubai | 1,464 | 3,100 | +3.2% |
| 29 | DAMAC Lagoons | 1,533 | 1,788 | +2.7% |
| 30 | Jumeirah Garden City | 1,896 | 2,260 | +2.4% |
| 31 | Palm Jumeirah | 1,216 | 3,628 | +2.0% |
| 32 | Falcon City | 1,407 | 1,493 | +0.9% |
| 33 | Dubai Marina | 1,425 | 3,184 | +0.7% |
| 34 | Dubai Maritime City | 1,947 | 3,201 | +0.3% |
| 35 | The Springs | 439 | 1,616 | +0.3% |
| 36 | Dubai South | 2,508 | 1,545 | +0.0% |
| 37 | DAMAC Hills | 1,972 | 1,465 | +0.0% |
| 38 | Dubailand Residence Complex | 1,913 | 1,487 | +0.0% |
| 39 | Majan | 1,904 | 1,377 | +0.0% |
| 40 | Dubai Creek Harbour | 1,770 | 2,303 | +0.0% |
| 41 | Motor City | 1,658 | 1,378 | +0.0% |
| 42 | Business Bay | 1,580 | 2,607 | +0.0% |
| 43 | Palm Deira / Dubai Islands | 1,032 | 3,005 | +0.0% |
| 44 | Sobha Hartland | 993 | 2,613 | +0.0% |
| 45 | Dubai Water Canal | 985 | 3,147 | +0.0% |
| 46 | Tilal Al Ghaf | 726 | 1,497 | +0.0% |
| 47 | Mina Rashid | 846 | 2,874 | -0.0% |
| 48 | City Walk | 898 | 3,204 | -1.0% |
| 49 | Wasl 1 | 793 | 2,193 | -2.3% |
| 50 | Liwan | 1,237 | 1,229 | -3.8% |
| 51 | Jumeirah Lake Towers | 1,492 | 1,958 | -4.9% |
| 52 | Al Barsha | 2,005 | 1,623 | -10.8% |
Area positioning — Volume × Growth
Area positioning · Volume × Growth
Bubble size = median AED/sqft · split at the panel median for each axis
- LeadersHigh volume AND high growth
- Cash cowsHigh volume, slower growth
- ChallengersLow volume, fast growth
- Watch listLow volume, low growth
12-month price trend
Market trends
Last 12months · arm's-length sales · 3-mo trend overlay
3-month outlook · AED/sqft
Transactions to investigate
Sales with a per-sqft price more than 2.5 standard deviations from their building's mean. Useful for analysts looking for mispriced units, data-entry errors, or unusual configurations.
| Date | Building | Area | AED/sqft | Versus building mean |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr 2026 | Maybach 6 - TOWER A | Meydan | 378,189 | +7022% vs building mean of 5,310 AED/sqft |
| 17 Dec 2024 | Palm Jumeirah | Palm Jumeirah | 48,232 | +907% vs building mean of 4,791 AED/sqft |
| 27 Apr 2026 | ELTIERA HEIGHTS | Jumeirah Islands | 4,678 | +83% vs building mean of 2,554 AED/sqft |
| 23 Apr 2026 | Binghatti Cullinan | Dubai Creek Harbour | 4,722 | +113% vs building mean of 2,215 AED/sqft |
| 07 May 2026 | The Pinnacle at Sobha Central | Al Furjan | 6,501 | +98% vs building mean of 3,289 AED/sqft |
| 14 May 2026 | Binghatti Skyflame 1 | Majan | 4,249 | +197% vs building mean of 1,433 AED/sqft |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Maybach Ultimate Luxury - TOWER B | Meydan | 7,898 | +114% vs building mean of 3,690 AED/sqft |
| 13 Mar 2026 | Timez By Danube | Dubai Silicon Oasis | 3,048 | +53% vs building mean of 1,997 AED/sqft |
All findings
Every insight generated in this run, ranked by magnitude.
- Quality12169
Outlier transactions flagged
12,169 rows (14.1%) have been flagged as gift transfers, re-registrations, or per-sqft outliers — these are excluded from arm's-length averages.
Explore - Price3,628 /sqft
Palm Jumeirah commands the top per-sqft
Median 3,628 AED/sqft — a 110% premium over the city median.
Explore - Activity+60.3%
Transaction volume accelerating
The last 3 months saw 25,942 sales versus 16,187 in the prior 3 — a 60.3% uplift.
Explore - Growth+40.7%
Emirates Hills leads price growth
Median AED/sqft in Emirates Hills is up 40.7% YoY, the strongest move of any tracked community.
Explore - Structure13% share
Nakheel dominates supply
8,642 sales across the dataset — 12.9% of all tracked transactions, more than any other developer.
Explore - Growth-10.8%
Al Barsha prices easing
Median AED/sqft in Al Barsha has slipped 10.8% over the last 12 months — the only major cooler in the panel.
Explore - Growth+5.7% YoY
Median price per sqft rising
Across all tracked communities, the rolling 12-month median is 1,726 AED/sqft, up 5.7% versus the prior 12 months.
Explore - Activity4% share
Dubai South runs the busiest market
2,508 registered sales — 3.7% of every arm's-length transaction in the dataset.
Explore
About this briefing
Generated server-side at request time from 67,052arm's-length transactions in the Heart Homes dataset. YoY figures compare the rolling last-12-months window against the prior 12 months. The forecast section uses a least-squares linear extrapolation of the 12-month trailing series — it's a heuristic indicator, not an econometric projection. Methodology details live on the methodology page.