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Heart HomesHeart Homes
Research desk · briefingAs of 24 May 2026

Dubai market briefing

A one-page read of the residential market — generated from every registered arm's-length sale in the dataset. Every figure on this page links back to the source transactions; nothing is estimated.

Sales tracked
7,474
Total value
AED 29.58B
▲ 16.4% YoY
Median sale
AED 2,535,500
▲ 8.7% YoY
Median AED / sqft
1,379
▲ 12.2% YoY

Key findings

  • Emirates Hills commands the top per-sqft
    Median 2,688 AED/sqft — a 95% premium over the city median.
    Drill in →
  • Outlier transactions flagged
    1,474 rows (15.3%) have been flagged as gift transfers, re-registrations, or per-sqft outliers — these are excluded from arm's-length averages.
    Drill in →
  • Emaar Properties dominates supply
    3,029 sales across the dataset — 40.5% of all tracked transactions, more than any other developer.
    Drill in →
  • Tilal Al Ghaf leads price growth
    Median AED/sqft in Tilal Al Ghaf is up 24.5% YoY, the strongest move of any tracked community.
    Drill in →

Area league table · ranked by YoY price growth

#AreaTxnsMedian AED/sqftYoY
1Tilal Al Ghaf1451,954+24.5%
2Dubai Hills Estate5451,416+16.5%
3Meydan2301,421+16.2%
4Al Barsha1631,216+15.9%
5International City134670+15.3%
6Palm Jumeirah4642,380+15.2%
7Arabian Ranches5481,124+13.7%
8Jumeirah Village Circle6141,059+13.6%
9Town Square Dubai246994+13.1%
10Dubai Creek Harbour2762,584+12.7%
11Al Furjan2331,012+12.4%
12Dubai Marina7071,696+12.1%
13Sports City151996+11.5%
14Mirdif147849+11.4%
15Business Bay5211,890+11.2%
16Downtown Dubai5392,166+10.0%
17Jumeirah Lake Towers4591,380+10.0%
18Dubai Silicon Oasis191896+10.0%
19Emirates Hills1722,688+9.0%
20Discovery Gardens146870+8.6%
21Motor City1931,080+8.4%
22DAMAC Hills2731,195+7.9%
23Dubai South135840+7.7%
24The Greens1631,439+5.3%
25The Views791,533+3.6%

Area positioning — Volume × Growth

Area positioning · Volume × Growth

Bubble size = median AED/sqft · split at the panel median for each axis

LeadersCash cowsChallengersWatch listTransactions in dataset →← YoY median AED/sqft growth →Dubai MarinaDubai Marina: 707 sales · 12.1% YoY · 1,696 AED/sqftJumeirah Village CircleJumeirah Village Circle: 614 sales · 13.6% YoY · 1,059 AED/sqftArabian RanchesArabian Ranches: 548 sales · 13.7% YoY · 1,124 AED/sqftDubai Hills EstateDubai Hills Estate: 545 sales · 16.5% YoY · 1,416 AED/sqftDowntown DubaiDowntown Dubai: 539 sales · 10.0% YoY · 2,166 AED/sqftBusiness BayBusiness Bay: 521 sales · 11.2% YoY · 1,890 AED/sqftPalm JumeirahPalm Jumeirah: 464 sales · 15.2% YoY · 2,380 AED/sqftJumeirah Lake TowersJumeirah Lake Towers: 459 sales · 10.0% YoY · 1,380 AED/sqftDubai Creek HarbourDubai Creek Harbour: 276 sales · 12.7% YoY · 2,584 AED/sqftDAMAC HillsDAMAC Hills: 273 sales · 7.9% YoY · 1,195 AED/sqftTown Square DubaiTown Square Dubai: 246 sales · 13.1% YoY · 994 AED/sqftAl FurjanAl Furjan: 233 sales · 12.4% YoY · 1,012 AED/sqftMeydanMeydan: 230 sales · 16.2% YoY · 1,421 AED/sqftMotor CityMotor City: 193 sales · 8.4% YoY · 1,080 AED/sqftDubai Silicon OasisDubai Silicon Oasis: 191 sales · 10.0% YoY · 896 AED/sqftEmirates HillsEmirates Hills: 172 sales · 9.0% YoY · 2,688 AED/sqftThe GreensThe Greens: 163 sales · 5.3% YoY · 1,439 AED/sqftAl BarshaAl Barsha: 163 sales · 15.9% YoY · 1,216 AED/sqftSports CitySports City: 151 sales · 11.5% YoY · 996 AED/sqftMirdifMirdif: 147 sales · 11.4% YoY · 849 AED/sqftDiscovery GardensDiscovery Gardens: 146 sales · 8.6% YoY · 870 AED/sqftTilal Al GhafTilal Al Ghaf: 145 sales · 24.5% YoY · 1,954 AED/sqftDubai SouthDubai South: 135 sales · 7.7% YoY · 840 AED/sqftInternational CityInternational City: 134 sales · 15.3% YoY · 670 AED/sqftThe ViewsThe Views: 79 sales · 3.6% YoY · 1,533 AED/sqft

12-month price trend

Market trends

Last 12months · arm's-length sales · 3-mo trend overlay

1,4891,5531,6171,6821,746Jun 25: 1,506Jul 25: 1,580Aug 25: 1,532Sep 25: 1,584Oct 25: 1,592Nov 25: 1,603Dec 25: 1,571Jan 26: 1,672Feb 26: 1,676Mar 26: 1,684Apr 26: 1,663May 26: 1,728Jun 25Aug 25Oct 25Dec 25Feb 26Apr 26May 26
Monthly psf 3-mo avg
1,506 – 1,728

3-month outlook · AED/sqft

nowJun 25Sep 25Dec 25Mar 26Jun 26Aug 26
History Forecast 80% band

Transactions to investigate

Sales with a per-sqft price more than 2.5 standard deviations from their building's mean. Useful for analysts looking for mispriced units, data-entry errors, or unusual configurations.

DateBuildingAreaAED/sqftVersus building mean
10 Mar 2026Vida ResidencesDubai Creek Harbour4,156+56% vs building mean of 2,658 AED/sqft
06 May 2026Sparkle TowersDubai Marina2,669+54% vs building mean of 1,734 AED/sqft
22 Dec 2025Marina PromenadeDubai Marina2,565+50% vs building mean of 1,706 AED/sqft
19 Apr 2026Park HeightsDubai Hills Estate2,109+49% vs building mean of 1,418 AED/sqft
20 Aug 2025DAMAC TowersBusiness Bay2,765+44% vs building mean of 1,914 AED/sqft
16 May 2026Lanai IslandsTilal Al Ghaf3,654+72% vs building mean of 2,127 AED/sqft
29 Apr 2026Burj VistaDowntown Dubai3,173+46% vs building mean of 2,177 AED/sqft
23 Feb 2026DreamzAl Furjan1,498+44% vs building mean of 1,037 AED/sqft
Research desk

All findings

Every insight generated in this run, ranked by magnitude.

About this briefing

Generated server-side at request time from 7,474arm's-length transactions in the Heart Homes dataset. YoY figures compare the rolling last-12-months window against the prior 12 months. The forecast section uses a least-squares linear extrapolation of the 12-month trailing series — it's a heuristic indicator, not an econometric projection. Methodology details live on the methodology page.